THE FUTURE STRATEGIST

NEWSLETTER | Q2 2025 | PUBLISHED JULY 2025

Past performance does not predict future returns. You may get back less than you originally invested. Reference to specific securities is not intended as a recommendation to purchase or sell any investment.

Q2 2025 comment

Mark Hawtin, Head of Global Equities team

The first half of 2025 signalled a break from US mega-cap dominance, with only 6% of MSCI World All-Country World Index performance tied to the “Magnificent Seven.” A stronger euro, soaring gold, and standout IPOs created opportunities elsewhere. Mark Hawtin, Head of the Liontrust Global Equities Team, highlights how active stock selection remains crucial. With earnings forecasts downgraded, the Q2 reporting season will be pivotal in shaping market direction.
Liontrust Global Equities Team

Tech stack or smoke stack – who wins in AI?

Mark Hawtin, Head of the Global Equities Team

With the rise of AI, capital intensity has increased dramatically over the past eight years, making yesterday’s asset light business models into the smoke stack companies of the AI world. In this article, Mark Hawtin, Head of the Liontrust Global Equities team, discusses whether these investments in substantial amounts of AI infrastructure will be justified compared to other potential investments.

A new dawn in Alzheimer’s therapy?

Kevin Kruczynski, Fund Manager, Global Equities team

Alzheimer’s remains one of medicine’s toughest challenges, but progress is accelerating. Kevin Kruczynski, fund manager on the Liontrust Global Equities team, highlights how new blood-based diagnostics promise earlier detection, while next-generation treatments aim to slow or prevent the disease.

Unlocking growth: the incredible power of networks

David Goodman, Fund Manager, Global Equities team

Network effects are powerful drivers of value, enabling exponential growth and strong competitive moats. David Goodman, fund manager on the Liontrust Global Equities team, discusses how these effects – reinforced by high switching costs – set market leaders apart. From Uber’s virtuous cycle to Intuitive Surgical’s expanding ecosystem, recognising these dynamics is key to spotting long-term winners.

Stablecoin summer – full circle

Pieran Maru, Fund Manager, Global Equities team

Stablecoins have evolved from crypto trading aids to a transformative force in global finance. Pieran Maru, fund manager on the Liontrust Global Equities Team, explains how they cut costs, reduce settlement times and enhance transparency – disrupting payments, remittances and B2B transactions.

AI, blockchain and critical minerals are shaping the future of Chile

Tom Smith, Fund Manager, Global Equities team

Few countries are as pivotal to the world’s green transition as Chile. With vast copper and lithium reserves, the country is integrating AI, blockchain and green hydrogen to boost efficiency, ensure transparent supply chains and decarbonise industry. Thomas Smith, fund manager on the Liontrust Global Equities team, highlights how Chile is mining smarter, not just more, and setting a benchmark for resource-rich nations aiming to lead in sustainable innovation.

Outlook: Active equity strategies: a crucial edge in 2025

Mark Hawtin, Head of the Global Equities Team

Mark Hawtin, Head of the Liontrust Global Equities team, explains why their base case is that equity markets globally remain little changed in the second half of 2025 but the polarisation of winners and losers will remain significant. For the first time in many years, geographical diversification will matter, as will stock selection outside the very biggest companies in the world.

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KEY RISKS & DISCLAIMER

Non-UK individuals: This document is issued by Liontrust Europe S.A., a Luxembourg public limited company (société anonyme) incorporated on 14 October 2019 and authorised by and regulated as an investment firm in Luxembourg by the Commission de Surveillance du Secteur Financier (“CSSF”) having its registered office at 18, Val Sainte Croix, L-1370 Luxembourg, Grand Duchy of Luxembourg and registered with the Luxembourg trade and companies register under number B.238295.

UK individuals: This document is issued by Liontrust Investment Partners LLP (2 Savoy Court, London WC2R 0EZ), authorised and regulated in the UK by the Financial Conduct Authority (FRN 518552) to undertake regulated investment business.

It should not be construed as advice for investment in any product or security mentioned, an offer to buy or sell units/shares of Funds mentioned, or a solicitation to purchase securities in any company or investment product. Examples of stocks are provided for general information only to demonstrate our investment philosophy. The investment being promoted is for units in a fund, not directly in the underlying assets.

This information and analysis is believed to be accurate at the time of publication, but is subject to change without notice. Whilst care has been taken in compiling the content, no representation or warranty is given, whether express or implied, by Liontrust as to its accuracy or completeness, including for external sources (which may have been used) which have not been verified.

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